"Building our workforce - talent and expertise in aviation in Canada"
Ottawa, May 12, 2011
Global Demographic Trends to 2050
- In 1998 - those over 60, in the developed world, outnumbered those under 15, for the first time.
- In 2047, the same thing will happen worldwide.
- In 1950 there were 12 people of working age (15-64) for every person 65 and over. (12:1)
- In 2010 the ratio dropped to 9.1.
- By 2050 it is expected to fall to 4.1.
Canadian Population over 65 2026 and 2050
2000 – 1 person over 65 for 8 of working age (8:1)
2026 – 1 person over 65 years for 5 of working age (5:1)
2050 – 1 person over 65 years for 3 of working age (3:1)
People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People
Canada's Labour Market Future
International Data: ICAO/IATA
|Pilot and Training Demand||2018||2026|
|Total new pilots (additional aircraft and retirement) needing ab-initio training||207,600||352,900|
|Total new pilots needing transition training on replacement aircraft||59,930||122,700|
|Total mechanics needed for additional aircraft||247,100||420,000|
|Total mechanics including retirement||405,500||739,000|
Average number of personnel per aircraft
Boeing International Forecast
Commonwealth of Independent States
(former Soviet Republics)
Aviation & Aerospace Footprint in Canada
- 80,000 aviation maintenance technicians;
(CCAA HR study for the Canadian Aviation Manufacturers and Maintenance Industry, 2002)
- 78,965 aerospace employees and $22.2 billion in revenues;
(Deloitte & Touche analysis of AIAC Survey, 2009)
- 24,598 commercial pilot licenses held;
(CCAA Human Resources Study of Commercial Pilots in Canada, 2010)
- 3,758 full-time Airport workers;
(CCAA Canada’s Airports Occupation Study, June 2010)
- Plus fixed wing and rotary workforce not included above
- Air Canada alone has 23,200 employees.
(Air Canada Corporate Overview, April 2011, http://www.aircanada.com/en/about/acfamily/)
Human Resources Challenges
E.g. Bombardier Aerospace
- Hiring 1,500 new engineers and tradespeople
- 10-20% of their hires will be recent graduates from specialized Canadian programs (e.g. SAIT, BCIT)
- Will also institute call-backs of senior, skilled workers
- Global recruiting drive
- “Some of the jobs are so highly specialized and tailored to the aerospace industry that Bombardier recently sent a team of recruiters to the United Kingdom and France to find just the right mix of skills, talent and experience it required…One position took 700 days to fill…”
“They are highly specialized skills that we need to search the whole planet to find.”
(from Derek Sankey – Postmedia, published in The Montreal Gazette, Saturday March 5, 2011)
- What is the potential impact on our industry?
- Can we compete with other sectors for skilled workforce?
- What should be done?
- What is the role of Transport Canada?
Canadian Council for Aviation & Aerospace
- Rob Donald
Canadian Council for Aviation and Aerospace
- Mark Gallant
Vice-President, Flight Operations
- Gordon Duke
Halifax International Airport Authority
- Captain Dan Adamus
President, Canada Board
Air Line Pilots Association
- Robert Nag
Manager, Engineering and Maintenance
- How do we attract talented individuals into the aviation industry? How can we build on strategies currently being implemented by industry and government today?
- What can be done to ensure better training and development, and what is Transport Canada’s role in supporting industry in this pursuit?
- What worries you? What measures can industry and government put in place to be prepared for the cyclical nature of the aviation industry in Canada over the next 10-15 years?
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